Far-right AfD polls 37% ahead of state vote


February 19, 2026

Poll puts far-right AfD far ahead in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania

A new poll shows the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) leading clearly in the northeastern state of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, seven months before an election there.

The Forsa survey for the Ostsee-Zeitung put the AfD at 37%, ahead of the center-left Social Democrats (SPD) of state premierย Manuela Schwesig on 23% and the center-right Christian Democrats (CDU) on 13%. The socialist Left Party, which currently governs in coalition with the SPD, was measured at 11%.

The state election is scheduled for September 20.

The business-focused Free Democrats (FDP) on 2% and the Greens on 4% would miss the 5% threshold and drop out of the state parliament, while the ย populist left BSW was at 5%, right on the edge.

Forsa surveyed 1,003 eligible voters in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern between February 9 and February 16.

Compared with an Infratest dimap poll for NDR published in late January, the AfD gained 2 points while the SPD lost 2, with the CDU unchanged at 13%.

Polling institutes note that surveys reflect opinion at the time of questioning and are not forecasts, with the reported margin of error in the Forsa poll at plus or minus 3 percentage points.

While the AfD would emerge as the largest force in the state parliament under the current figures, all major political parties have said they will not work with it.

In the 2021 state election, the SPD won 39.6%, while the AfD took 16.7%, the CDU 13.3%, the Left Party 9.9%, the Greens 6.3%, and the FDP 5.8%.

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