Hong Kongโ€™s still โ€˜overโ€™ but Stephen Roach says city a surprise trade war winner



American economist Stephen Roach has said that Hong Kong has benefited from the US-China trade war despite last year having declared the city to be โ€œoverโ€, even as he claimed that other aspects of the financial hub had worsened.

The former Morgan Stanley Asia chairman sparked debate last year after he penned an opinion piece which argued, in part, that Hong Kong would be caught in the โ€œcrossfireโ€ of the worsening US-China rivalry.

โ€œThe word caught is the word that, if I had to write the piece again, I would probably change, because I think, ironically, Hong Kong has benefited from the crossfire between the US and China,โ€ he told the Post in a recent interview.

Despite worsening ties between the two superpowers since US President Donald Trump began levying his so-called reciprocal tariffs on China and the rest of the world, Hong Kongโ€™s stock market has seen solid gains.

The benchmark Hang Seng Index is up by around 50 per cent since Roach made his original claim, while Hong Kong has rocketed to the top of global fundraising table following a string of high-profile initial public offerings last month, including from mainland Chinese battery maker Contemporary Amperex Technology.

Roach, who is now a faculty member at Yale University, said the โ€œsell Americaโ€ trade had become a โ€œglobal mantraโ€ and Hong Kong was a beneficiary.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *